An International Research and data firm, Fitch Solutions, has forecasted that John Mahama stand a stronger chance to win for the NDC in the 2024 general elections in December.
The London-based firm which has been consistent with its forecast since last year argued that per its polls, 54% of respondents surveyed tipped the former president as the winner in the upcoming presidential election.
At its Mid-Year Review for Sub Saharan Africa, Associate Director, Country Risk at Fitch Solutions, Mike Kruiniger explained that the current state of the economy will contribute a key role in the decision of voters on December 7.
“We believe that the opposition NDC has a stronger chance of winning the upcoming general elections compared to the ruling NPP. Recent polls consistently place the NDC ahead with the most recent survey showing 54 % of respondents favoring the NDC,” Mike said.
Fitch believes that the current state of the economy and employment issues will largely influence the choice of voter’s in this year’s election.
This, they say will cause a disadvantage for the NPP given the recent economic challenges.
“In addition, multiple surveys have shown that economic management and job creation are going to be the most important issues during the election for voters which we believe will put the ruling NPP at a disadvantage given the economic challenges that the country has faced over the last couple of years,” he added.
Fitch further explained that the policy direction for the economy should John Mahama win will not be any different.
Mike Kruiniger said an NDC government will most likely maintain the IMF programme which was started by the NPP.
“In terms of what a government change will mean for the economy, we think that policy direction under a likely NDC government will not largely change.
“The NDC will most likely stick to Ghana’s IMF programme particularly as the party has shown commitment in the past to international agreements and obligations. So in summary, we expect policy continuation in Ghana despite a likely government change,” he stressed.
